By Sumana Sarkar, Autocar Professional
The Vehicle Scrappage Policy, which got the green signal in the Union Budget, may give a further impetus to demand for used cars in India. This segment has seen a near-18 percent increase this fiscal at a time when new car sales have declined by 16 percent. Shashank Srivastava, Executive Director (Marketing & Sales), Maruti Suzuki India expects the demand momentum to continue albeit the used car market is constrained by supply at the moment.
How are the Union Budget announcements likely to impact used car demand and overall prospects for the segment?
The contours of the Vehicle Scrappage Policy will have a significant impact, not just in new car sales but also used cars. Cars that will be closer to scrappage age (20 years) will obviously lose value and their prices will fall significantly.
As a lot of old cars will be off the roads, the old car park will reduce in volumes and that should see the upward pressure on prices. So, an interesting scenario may emerge – younger used cars prices going up and older used car prices coming down significantly.
The point of inflexion will be decided by the level of incentive or disincentive provided in the Scrappage policy.
Over time, more consumers will try to sell their old cars earlier so the expected average age of used cars available for sale will decrease and this will depress their prices.
Can you elaborate on the current demand for used cars compared to new cars?
Physical distancing norms and the increased concerns regarding safety and hygiene have given an impetus to the personal mobility business. The Covid-19 pandemic has shifted customers' buying preference towards personal mobility. Demand for used cars has gone up substantially and this is reflected in the enquiry levels, which are up 15-18 percent year-on-year in a market (for new cars) that has declined by 18 percent so far this fiscal. However, the problem in the used car market is not of demand but of supply.
With consumers delaying new car purchases, what's the impact on the used car market? Is there a demand-supply mismatch right now?
Given the unprecedented slowdown induced by the Covid-19 pandemic, the problem in the used-car market is not of demand but of supply. While typically replacement demand is about 25 percent of the total new car sales, this fiscal it has dropped to 19 percent. This drop is reducing the availability of used cars, impacting its sales. This is also reflected in the average age of cars coming for exchange, which has gone up from a typical 6-7 years to 8-9 years. However, the situation is expected to improve as the current economic situation improves.
What's the age and income group of consumers who prefer used cars at the moment? And what is the ratio of first-time buyers in this segment?
Due to the drastic shift towards personal mobility, first-time buyers have increased by 45 percent. Around 85 percent of the customers who buy pre-owned cars are first-time buyers. People tend to upgrade their lifestyle at big life events and car purchase is one such upgrade. The average age of True Value customers ranges between 25-45 years with average monthly household income of approximately Rs 50,000.
How is Maruti planning to introduce the subscription model in the used car market?
We don’t give guidance on future business plans. Currently, Maruti Suzuki’s subscription model is available only for new cars in Delhi-NCR, Bangalore, Hyderabad, Pune, Mumbai (including Navi Mumbai and Thane), Chennai, Ahmedabad and Gandhinagar.
Every car sold at True Value goes through a rigorous 376-check quality evaluation, refurbishment and certification process. True Value-certified cars come with up to 1-year warranty and three free services. This gives the customer complete transparency about the car.
At True Value, intelligent digital interfaces are used to evaluate and certify the cars. The information generated from these processes helps the customer to transparently know the car in detail. These include engine, suspension, brakes, electrical fittings and equipment, transmission and steering control, to cover car’s complete health, and reduce the chance of error during evaluation.